Introduction to Mathematical Models of the Epidemiology and Control of Infectious Diseases

10 – 21 September 2012

Directed by Prof Christophe Fraser, Dr Anne Cori and Dr John Marshall
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London

Provisional List of Presenters

Prof Sir Roy Anderson
Prof María-Gloria Basáñez
Prof Christl Donnelly
Prof Neil Ferguson
Prof Christophe Fraser
Prof Azra Ghani
Prof Nicholas Grassly
Prof Brian Spratt 
Prof Joanne Webster

Dr Rebecca Baggaley
Dr Marie-Claude Boily
Dr Simon Cauchemez
Dr Tom Churcher
Dr Tim Hallett
Dr Déirdre Hollingsworth 
Dr Christopher Rhodes 
Dr Peter White
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London 

 Dr Rebecca Baggaley

Research Associate
Dr Baggaley is currently designing and using mathematical models to determine the effect of treatments for herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) and other interventions on HIV transmission in sub-Saharan Africa in order to determine the public health benefit of HSV-2 control. She is also investigating the transmission of HIV drug resistance in developing countries. Her other research interests include estimating HIV transmission probabilities, maternal health and mental health.

 Dr Marie-Claude Boily

Senior Lecturer in Infectious Diseases Ecology
Dr Boily’s research interests focus on the use of empirical and mathematical modelling studies to measure and evaluate preventive intervention for infectious diseases. Her projects aim to better understand STI and HIV/AIDS transmission and assess the impact of interventions. It also involves the innovative use of mathematical models to validate and improve study design and analysis of epidemiological or clinical trial studies before they are implemented in the field. She and her collaborators have been awarded a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation to design an Measure and Evaluation framework that combines dynamical models and carefully collected serial biological and behavioural data to estimate the impact of HIV/AIDS AVAHAN intervention. Her interests also include studies on sexual networks and structural measures of networks, determinant of change in sexual behaviour, particularly in the context of an HIV/AIDS epidemic.

Senior Lecturer in Statistical Infectious Disease
Dr Cauchemez is interested in the statistical analysis of outbreak data, with a view to better understanding transmission dynamics. For example, he evaluates the impact of school closure on influenza epidemics using incidence data and the timing of holidays. He also investigated transmission dynamics in small communities (eg: influenza transmission in households) and developed methods to monitor the efficacy of control measures in real time.

Junior Research Fellow
Dr Churcher’s research focuses on the use of mathematical models to
understand the epidemiology and control of vector borne infections such as malaria and filariasis. Of particular interest is the development of models merging population dynamics with population genetics to explore the evolutionary response of the parasite to control interventions.